Humanity could create an artificial intelligence agent that is just as smart as humans in as soon as the next three years, a leading scientist has claimed.
However, Goertzel noted AI research is entering a period of exponential growth, and the evidence suggests that artificial general intelligence — where AI becomes just as capable as humans across several areas independent of the original training data — is within reach. This hypothetical point in AI development is known as the"singularity."
If such an agent is designed to have access to and rewrite its own code, it could then very quickly evolve into an artificial super intelligence — which Goertzel loosely defined as an AI that has the cognitive and computing power of all of human civilization combined. Goertzel also pointed to improvements made to LLMs within a few years, which have"woken up so much of the world to the potential of AI." He clarified LLMs in themselves will not lead to AGI because the way they show knowledge doesn't represent genuine understanding, but that LLMs may be one component in a broad set of interconnected architectures.
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