third podcast with Lex Fridman
In the interview with Lex Fridman, Elon spoke about Tesla’s Autopilot, Tesla self-driving, neural networks, and when Tesla could solve self-driving. In his podcast with Elon, Lex spoke of the natural skepticism he had when he first drove a Tesla with the initial system based on Mobileye tech. Douma pointed out that machine learning is incredibly specialized and has several subdivisions of people who are specialized. His general sense is that Elon has a much more holistic understanding, like a deep understanding of all of the specifics that go into the metallurgy of the raptor engine.Dave asked Douma what his take was on Elon’s prediction of when Tesla would achieve Level 4 autonomy.
Douma explained that if the number of interventions that one would have to make to avoid an accident while driving on FSD comes down far enough, it will eventually cross under that threshold. However, he added that at some point, the human starts causing accidents“Humans intervening with self-driving systems have caused some of the worst accidents that the self-driving cars have had, so that’s a real thing.
Can't even do level 3 in 2021.
Good video. I like the metrics, and for now will be watching the number of disengagement closely.