Harvard Scholars Suggest Pollsters Ask Questions to AI Simulations of Voters Because Real People Won't Answer The Phone

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With just a small fraction of people picking up their phones for political polling, Harvard experts are suggesting that pollsters "call" artificial intelligence simulations of voters instead., a group of policy and computer science scholars from Harvard's Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation insist that the— via polling, of course — that only six percent of people responded to political polling calls.

ChatGPT's only slip-up, as the researchers explained in their more recent writing, occurred when they had the chatbot cosplay as a liberal voter and asked it about American support for. As Sanders and Schneier observed, it likened that support to the Iraq War because it "didn’t know how the politics had changed" since 2021, when the large language model undergirding it at the time had last been trained.

"While AI polling will always have limitations in accuracy," the scholars wrote, "that makes them similar to, not different from, traditional polling." "Today’s pollsters are challenged to reach sample sizes large enough to measure statistically significant differences between similar populations," they continued, "and the issues of nonresponse and inauthentic response can make them systematically wrong."seen in the re-election of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, this technology's use in polling could well muddy up the works even further.

 

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