, just over half of the 2,778 researchers polled said that there's a five percent chance that humans will be driven to extinction, among other "extremely bad outcomes."
Some are extraordinarily negative. Take AI researcher and University of Louisville computer science lecturer Roman Yampolskiy, who's squarely in the doomer camp. In aof Lex Fridman's podcast, he predicted that there's — get this — a 99.9 percent chance AI could wipe out humanity within the next 100 years.
"They already have made mistakes," he said. "We had accidents, they've been jailbroken. I don't think there is a single large language model today, which no one was successful at making do something developers didn't intend it to do.""Superintelligence will come up with something completely new, completely super," he told Fridman. "We may not even recognize that as a possible path to achieve" the goal of ending everyone.
"We can put more resources exponentially and get closer but we never get to 100 percent," he said. "If a system makes a billion decisions a second and you use it for 100 years, you're still going to deal with a problem."
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