AI language models are running out of human-written text to learn from

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A new study projects that tech companies will exhaust the supply of publicly available training data for AI language models by sometime between 2026 and 2032.

Artificial intelligence systems like ChatGPT could soon run out of what keeps making them smarter — the tens of trillions of words people have written and shared online. A new study released Thursday by research group Epoch AI projects that tech companies will exhaust the supply of publicly available training data for AI language models by roughly the turn of the decade -- sometime between 2026 and 2032.

In the short term, tech companies like ChatGPT-maker OpenAI and Google are racing to secure and sometimes pay for high-quality data sources to train their AI large language models – for instance, by signing deals to tap into the steady flow of sentences coming out of Reddit forums and news media outlets.

As OpenAI begins work on training the next generation of its GPT large language models, CEO Sam Altman told the audience at a United Nations event last month that the company has already experimented with 'generating lots of synthetic data' for training. 'I think what you need is high-quality data. There is low-quality synthetic data. There’s low-quality human data,' Altman said.

 

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