Doom developer John Carmack thinks AGI could debut in 2030

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Suggests we might not have AI at all if it weren't for Quake

Legendary software developer John Carmack, who gave the world the first-person shooter, thinks it's likely an artificial general intelligence could be shown to the public around the year 2030.[Video] that his AGI startup Keen has hired Richard Sutton, chief scientific advisor at the Alberta Machine Intelligence Institute.

Sutton told the event he does not think coding an AGI is infeasible with current techniques, adding that he sees a target of 2030 as possible for a"prototype AI to show signs of life." During the event, Sutton and Carmack named a handful of Keen staff who will work on the project. Both acknowledged that Keen's team is tiny – as is the $20 million of funding it has secured, compared to the billions of dollars and hundreds of workers at larger AI outfits.Carmack weighed in with his opinion that while"Nobody has line of sight on a solution to this today, we feel there is not that much left to do.

"There are fundamental research questions that need to be answered, and we have internal projects and angles of attack," he suggested, adding that he expects that future textbooks on how to build AGIs will include a chapter on the work Keen and others will do in coming years."We are six, seven, eight years out from something really big and important being publicly visible."

 

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