“‘You could ask who is really running the show? Jerome Powell or Jensen Huang? Amazingly, it may not be Powell, but Jensen Huang who is driving Fed expectations.’”
Higher real yields in the U.S. are a key reason why 10- BX:TMUBMUSD10Y and 30-year Treasury yields BX:TMUBMUSD30Y climbed to multi-year highs through Monday. Real yields, as measured by rates of Treasury inflation-protected securities, offer a glimpse of how the market expects the U.S. to perform when inflation isn’t a factor.
A chart provided by Emons shows how the median estimate of analysts for Nvidia’s earnings-per-share in the fiscal second quarter has been rising alongside the market-implied probabilities of a November Fed rate hike.
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